← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Ohio State University-1.77+3.30vs Predicted
-
2University of Michigan-1.20+1.42vs Predicted
-
3Purdue University-1.64+1.04vs Predicted
-
4Michigan State University-1.50-0.33vs Predicted
-
5Miami University-2.47+0.49vs Predicted
-
6University of Notre Dame-3.09+0.76vs Predicted
-
7Western Michigan University-2.71-0.87vs Predicted
-
8Grand Valley State University-1.36-4.48vs Predicted
-
9Hope College-3.71-1.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.3Ohio State University-1.770.1%1st Place
-
3.42University of Michigan-1.200.2%1st Place
-
4.04Purdue University-1.640.2%1st Place
-
3.67Michigan State University-1.500.2%1st Place
-
5.49Miami University-2.470.1%1st Place
-
6.76University of Notre Dame-3.090.0%1st Place
-
6.13Western Michigan University-2.710.1%1st Place
-
3.52Grand Valley State University-1.360.2%1st Place
-
7.66Hope College-3.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sterling Thompson | 12.9% | 12.1% | 13.2% | 14.4% | 15.7% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 7.4% | 0.3% |
| Anna Brieden | 17.8% | 20.8% | 17.9% | 16.0% | 12.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Benjamin Casler | 15.1% | 13.2% | 15.4% | 12.5% | 16.1% | 13.7% | 8.9% | 4.1% | 1.0% |
| Brynna Smith | 17.0% | 17.5% | 16.3% | 15.6% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 7.0% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Tanner Knox | 6.2% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 13.0% | 14.2% | 15.4% | 15.2% | 9.0% |
| Jonathon Jollay | 3.3% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 10.3% | 17.0% | 25.9% | 23.1% |
| Keegan Aerts | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 15.1% | 18.7% | 20.9% | 13.3% |
| Sarah Corder | 20.6% | 18.1% | 14.6% | 14.3% | 13.4% | 10.0% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Laura Prince | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 6.1% | 10.5% | 19.1% | 51.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.