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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College0.05+3.91vs Predicted
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2Boston University0.97+1.81vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College1.17+1.04vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College0.44+1.87vs Predicted
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5Williams College-1.40+6.04vs Predicted
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6Bentley University-0.45+2.47vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University0.46-0.64vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont0.84-3.09vs Predicted
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9Maine Maritime Academy-0.82+0.68vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire-0.38-1.54vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire0.10-4.45vs Predicted
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12Bates College-0.58-3.05vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.20-2.70vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College-1.76-2.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.91Bowdoin College0.0512.1%1st Place
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3.81Boston University0.9719.7%1st Place
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4.04Dartmouth College1.1717.6%1st Place
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5.87Bowdoin College0.448.3%1st Place
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11.04Williams College-1.401.2%1st Place
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8.47Bentley University-0.453.5%1st Place
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6.36Northeastern University0.467.0%1st Place
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4.91University of Vermont0.8411.7%1st Place
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9.68Maine Maritime Academy-0.822.1%1st Place
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8.46University of New Hampshire-0.383.9%1st Place
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6.55University of New Hampshire0.106.5%1st Place
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8.95Bates College-0.583.3%1st Place
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10.3Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.201.9%1st Place
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11.64Middlebury College-1.761.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Stevens | 12.1% | 13.6% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 19.7% | 17.1% | 15.3% | 13.9% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte West | 17.6% | 15.6% | 14.7% | 13.4% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Sophie Brett | 8.3% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Max Harthorne | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 15.2% | 19.7% | 23.8% |
| John O'Connell | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 2.5% |
| Aidan Boni | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Cooper Smith | 11.7% | 13.1% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Isaac Thompson | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 13.1% | 14.2% | 13.4% | 9.5% |
| Sean Lund | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 10.6% | 6.9% | 4.0% |
| Sam Harris | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Harrison Nash | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 5.4% |
| cole capizzo | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 13.3% | 17.8% | 15.8% |
| Talia Trigg | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 11.8% | 19.1% | 38.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.