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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College2.46+1.59vs Predicted
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2Villanova University0.73+3.64vs Predicted
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3Ocean County College0.26+3.21vs Predicted
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4Monmouth University1.95-0.73vs Predicted
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5Stevens Institute of Technology2.02-1.81vs Predicted
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6Princeton University1.74-2.34vs Predicted
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7Drexel University0.70-1.48vs Predicted
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8Penn State University-0.14-1.21vs Predicted
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10University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.21-1.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.59Washington College2.460.3%1st Place
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5.64Villanova University0.730.0%1st Place
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6.21Ocean County College0.260.0%1st Place
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3.27Monmouth University1.950.2%1st Place
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3.19Stevens Institute of Technology2.020.2%1st Place
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3.66Princeton University1.740.1%1st Place
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5.52Drexel University0.700.1%1st Place
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6.79Penn State University-0.140.0%1st Place
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8.13University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Bedinger | 30.5% | 24.7% | 20.5% | 11.4% | 7.2% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Trevor VonKaenel | 3.5% | 4.3% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 15.5% | 20.0% | 18.4% | 14.3% | 4.8% |
| Rebecca Johnson | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 11.4% | 15.0% | 21.9% | 23.5% | 8.4% |
| Paul Stevens | 18.2% | 20.2% | 19.6% | 17.9% | 12.3% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Christian Geary | 21.1% | 22.6% | 15.8% | 16.9% | 11.1% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| John Marzulli | 14.8% | 15.6% | 17.3% | 19.0% | 16.3% | 10.5% | 4.8% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Jennifer Mislinski | 5.5% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 15.2% | 20.2% | 19.6% | 13.2% | 3.7% |
| Jacob Snyder | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 18.0% | 29.3% | 18.6% |
| Christopher Cormier | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 4.5% | 7.8% | 15.9% | 64.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.