Race 1A

maisa-fall-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Bridget Green 18.1% 17.7% 15.8% 12.0% 11.2% 9.5% 6.7% 4.8% 2.7% 0.9% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Olivia de Olazarra 19.9% 17.9% 17.0% 12.6% 10.6% 8.3% 6.6% 3.1% 2.2% 0.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Clara Guarascio 2.0% 1.4% 1.6% 2.9% 3.3% 4.1% 5.7% 6.5% 9.0% 15.4% 20.6% 16.6% 10.9%
Bridget Groble 8.4% 8.8% 7.9% 11.4% 9.8% 9.6% 12.0% 10.1% 9.1% 7.3% 3.9% 1.4% 0.3%
Chiara Perotti Correa 7.5% 7.5% 8.5% 9.1% 9.5% 8.5% 10.4% 10.5% 11.5% 8.7% 5.5% 2.1% 0.7%
Katherine Bennett 8.0% 8.2% 8.9% 8.0% 9.2% 11.0% 11.1% 11.2% 10.0% 7.6% 4.8% 1.7% 0.3%
Amanda Majernik 11.5% 10.9% 10.5% 9.4% 12.3% 10.3% 9.5% 10.4% 8.1% 4.3% 1.9% 0.9% 0.0%
Victroia Flatley 5.8% 5.6% 6.5% 8.8% 8.9% 10.4% 9.5% 10.0% 13.2% 11.8% 5.2% 3.5% 0.8%
Sunrae Sturmer 1.4% 1.4% 2.3% 2.8% 2.7% 2.9% 4.5% 4.0% 6.7% 12.1% 18.6% 21.0% 19.6%
Ella Withington 8.3% 9.2% 8.6% 9.0% 9.7% 11.0% 8.1% 12.5% 9.9% 6.9% 4.2% 2.0% 0.6%
Riley Kloc 7.7% 9.7% 9.6% 10.7% 9.9% 11.0% 10.3% 10.1% 8.8% 5.8% 4.5% 1.5% 0.4%
Hannah Mercurio 0.5% 1.0% 1.2% 1.5% 1.4% 1.7% 2.7% 2.7% 4.6% 8.0% 13.5% 23.8% 37.4%
Kristin Hess 0.9% 0.7% 1.6% 1.8% 1.5% 1.7% 2.9% 4.1% 4.2% 10.3% 16.0% 25.3% 29.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.