Race 2A

maisa-fall-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Bridget Green 19.9% 15.6% 16.2% 11.4% 11.9% 9.4% 6.1% 4.4% 3.2% 1.3% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Olivia de Olazarra 20.6% 17.9% 16.2% 13.4% 9.7% 8.2% 6.5% 3.7% 2.3% 0.9% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Chiara Perotti Correa 5.4% 7.6% 8.5% 8.2% 10.1% 10.6% 9.4% 11.8% 11.8% 8.2% 5.6% 2.4% 0.4%
Victroia Flatley 5.4% 7.0% 6.5% 7.1% 9.4% 10.5% 9.2% 10.6% 11.3% 11.3% 7.3% 3.7% 0.7%
Katherine Bennett 8.3% 8.3% 8.2% 11.0% 8.2% 8.3% 9.9% 12.6% 9.0% 8.5% 5.3% 2.0% 0.4%
Bridget Groble 8.7% 8.6% 10.8% 9.5% 10.2% 9.8% 11.4% 9.9% 8.8% 5.9% 5.0% 1.2% 0.2%
Amanda Majernik 10.1% 12.9% 10.8% 8.3% 11.8% 11.1% 10.9% 7.9% 8.2% 4.7% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
Clara Guarascio 2.2% 2.2% 2.7% 3.0% 3.7% 3.9% 5.2% 5.9% 9.3% 14.2% 18.8% 19.3% 9.6%
Ella Withington 7.6% 8.4% 8.4% 10.5% 8.9% 11.1% 11.2% 9.9% 8.3% 9.4% 4.0% 1.9% 0.4%
Riley Kloc 8.9% 8.5% 7.7% 11.6% 9.6% 9.7% 10.1% 10.7% 9.0% 7.4% 3.9% 1.8% 1.1%
Sunrae Sturmer 1.1% 1.4% 1.9% 2.4% 3.0% 4.1% 4.8% 4.9% 8.5% 12.1% 19.0% 21.2% 15.6%
Kristin Hess 0.9% 0.9% 1.2% 2.3% 1.7% 1.5% 3.5% 4.8% 5.2% 8.5% 14.8% 22.0% 32.7%
Hannah Mercurio 0.9% 0.7% 0.9% 1.3% 1.8% 1.8% 1.8% 2.9% 5.1% 7.6% 12.8% 23.7% 38.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.