Race 3A

maisa-fall-women

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Olivia de Olazarra 21.4% 16.9% 14.6% 15.0% 10.8% 8.2% 5.3% 4.0% 2.1% 1.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Bridget Green 19.4% 17.3% 14.6% 12.8% 10.9% 9.1% 6.6% 5.0% 1.9% 1.6% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Amanda Majernik 8.7% 11.1% 12.9% 10.1% 10.1% 12.0% 11.1% 8.5% 7.8% 4.7% 2.5% 0.3% 0.2%
Victroia Flatley 5.4% 6.1% 6.2% 8.0% 9.9% 9.2% 10.0% 10.3% 12.1% 10.4% 7.9% 3.6% 0.9%
Chiara Perotti Correa 7.7% 7.7% 8.4% 9.0% 8.8% 9.6% 10.6% 10.8% 10.1% 8.3% 6.0% 2.4% 0.6%
Clara Guarascio 1.7% 2.4% 2.9% 2.8% 3.2% 3.4% 5.8% 6.9% 9.5% 13.8% 20.1% 17.0% 10.5%
Katherine Bennett 8.5% 9.1% 9.2% 8.5% 8.8% 10.0% 10.6% 10.2% 10.3% 9.1% 3.6% 1.8% 0.3%
Bridget Groble 8.7% 9.3% 9.6% 8.9% 9.0% 11.5% 10.6% 11.8% 9.4% 6.9% 2.8% 1.1% 0.4%
Ella Withington 7.4% 7.9% 10.3% 9.3% 9.7% 10.3% 11.3% 9.8% 8.6% 8.0% 5.5% 1.7% 0.2%
Riley Kloc 8.3% 9.2% 7.9% 9.7% 12.9% 9.0% 8.3% 10.0% 10.8% 7.6% 3.8% 2.0% 0.5%
Hannah Mercurio 0.7% 0.8% 0.7% 1.7% 1.6% 2.8% 2.7% 3.6% 5.0% 9.2% 13.3% 23.5% 34.4%
Sunrae Sturmer 1.1% 1.4% 1.6% 2.0% 3.5% 2.8% 4.0% 5.9% 6.1% 10.6% 16.7% 24.7% 19.6%
Kristin Hess 1.0% 0.8% 1.1% 2.2% 0.8% 2.1% 3.1% 3.2% 6.3% 8.5% 16.6% 21.9% 32.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.