Race 4A

maisa-fall-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Olivia de Olazarra 20.4% 16.9% 16.4% 14.1% 10.1% 8.9% 4.9% 4.2% 2.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.0% 0.1%
Victroia Flatley 5.7% 6.0% 7.1% 7.9% 7.7% 9.3% 11.3% 9.8% 12.2% 11.4% 7.5% 2.9% 1.2%
Bridget Groble 7.5% 8.8% 8.8% 10.8% 10.2% 9.7% 12.2% 10.8% 8.1% 7.7% 4.1% 1.2% 0.1%
Bridget Green 19.2% 16.8% 15.6% 12.8% 9.8% 8.4% 6.6% 5.3% 3.7% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%
Torrey Chisari 11.3% 12.8% 11.5% 11.1% 10.3% 10.2% 11.1% 7.8% 5.5% 5.0% 2.3% 1.1% 0.0%
Chiara Perotti Correa 7.1% 7.7% 8.2% 8.5% 9.0% 11.6% 10.4% 10.3% 8.8% 10.1% 5.3% 2.7% 0.3%
Clara Guarascio 2.4% 2.5% 2.7% 2.7% 4.2% 4.3% 4.9% 7.3% 9.1% 11.5% 19.5% 19.5% 9.4%
Katherine Bennett 7.6% 8.4% 8.9% 7.9% 10.1% 9.4% 11.1% 11.5% 11.6% 7.5% 3.6% 2.1% 0.3%
Ella Withington 7.3% 8.8% 7.8% 9.1% 9.8% 11.6% 10.3% 10.6% 8.7% 8.4% 5.4% 1.6% 0.6%
Riley Kloc 8.4% 8.4% 9.2% 9.0% 11.2% 11.3% 8.1% 8.8% 10.3% 8.3% 4.6% 1.8% 0.6%
Sunrae Sturmer 1.4% 1.1% 1.6% 2.5% 3.9% 2.7% 4.5% 6.2% 8.5% 11.7% 18.8% 20.5% 16.6%
Hannah Mercurio 0.6% 1.0% 0.8% 1.6% 2.1% 1.2% 2.1% 3.3% 5.5% 6.9% 11.7% 24.1% 39.1%
Kristin Hess 1.1% 0.8% 1.4% 2.0% 1.6% 1.4% 2.5% 4.1% 5.5% 9.2% 16.4% 22.4% 31.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.