Race 5A

maisa-fall-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Bridget Green 18.3% 17.2% 14.9% 12.4% 11.4% 9.3% 7.4% 3.8% 3.1% 1.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Torrey Chisari 10.9% 10.6% 11.8% 11.5% 11.1% 11.3% 9.6% 8.1% 7.0% 4.7% 2.1% 1.3% 0.0%
Olivia de Olazarra 19.8% 17.4% 15.7% 13.4% 11.3% 10.1% 4.7% 4.0% 2.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Victroia Flatley 5.1% 7.0% 6.3% 9.4% 8.2% 7.4% 10.6% 11.8% 10.7% 10.0% 9.3% 3.4% 0.8%
Chiara Perotti Correa 8.0% 7.4% 7.7% 10.8% 8.6% 9.0% 10.0% 11.4% 9.5% 9.2% 5.6% 2.5% 0.3%
Ella Withington 8.5% 7.9% 9.0% 10.6% 9.3% 10.6% 10.8% 9.8% 9.3% 6.8% 5.2% 2.1% 0.1%
Bridget Groble 9.0% 9.4% 10.7% 8.6% 9.2% 10.7% 10.2% 10.9% 9.9% 6.4% 3.3% 1.5% 0.2%
Riley Kloc 7.7% 9.7% 9.1% 7.8% 10.1% 9.2% 12.7% 9.9% 10.9% 7.6% 3.4% 1.7% 0.2%
Katherine Bennett 7.9% 7.4% 8.9% 8.5% 9.8% 9.4% 11.3% 11.8% 7.9% 9.7% 5.2% 1.8% 0.4%
Clara Guarascio 1.9% 2.9% 2.4% 2.0% 4.2% 4.3% 4.0% 6.4% 9.9% 13.9% 17.9% 18.5% 11.7%
Sunrae Sturmer 1.3% 1.2% 1.6% 2.3% 3.5% 4.4% 3.7% 5.1% 8.8% 12.3% 19.2% 21.0% 15.6%
Kristin Hess 0.8% 1.0% 1.3% 1.4% 1.6% 2.3% 3.5% 3.9% 6.4% 8.2% 14.8% 22.7% 32.1%
Hannah Mercurio 0.8% 0.9% 0.6% 1.3% 1.7% 2.0% 1.5% 3.1% 3.8% 9.2% 13.2% 23.3% 38.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.