Race 6A

maisa-fall-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Bridget Green 18.5% 15.7% 16.3% 13.3% 11.5% 7.9% 6.5% 5.3% 2.8% 1.1% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Olivia de Olazarra 20.3% 18.8% 15.5% 13.8% 9.7% 8.3% 5.6% 4.1% 2.5% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Katherine Bennett 6.3% 7.8% 8.9% 9.5% 9.2% 8.9% 11.0% 11.8% 11.4% 8.5% 4.9% 1.5% 0.3%
Ella Withington 7.9% 8.0% 7.9% 11.4% 9.8% 10.0% 9.9% 9.7% 10.2% 8.6% 4.7% 1.4% 0.5%
Torrey Chisari 11.9% 13.0% 10.4% 12.0% 9.0% 11.9% 9.2% 8.4% 7.0% 4.8% 2.0% 0.3% 0.1%
Victroia Flatley 6.8% 6.2% 7.0% 6.5% 9.2% 8.8% 11.6% 11.0% 10.0% 10.2% 8.0% 4.3% 0.4%
Bridget Groble 9.0% 10.0% 9.2% 8.7% 10.1% 11.8% 9.5% 10.0% 9.1% 6.8% 4.6% 1.1% 0.1%
Riley Kloc 8.0% 8.8% 9.2% 7.9% 10.2% 10.6% 12.5% 10.6% 10.4% 6.3% 3.2% 2.1% 0.2%
Chiara Perotti Correa 6.7% 7.3% 7.2% 9.1% 10.1% 9.1% 11.1% 10.2% 10.5% 10.4% 5.6% 1.9% 0.8%
Kristin Hess 0.7% 0.9% 2.6% 1.3% 2.9% 2.1% 2.3% 4.2% 4.8% 8.7% 16.3% 24.7% 28.5%
Clara Guarascio 1.9% 1.7% 2.5% 3.3% 4.2% 5.0% 4.9% 7.1% 10.3% 14.8% 18.5% 16.0% 9.8%
Sunrae Sturmer 1.0% 1.3% 1.9% 2.5% 2.4% 4.0% 3.9% 5.0% 6.5% 10.8% 17.5% 23.6% 19.6%
Hannah Mercurio 1.0% 0.5% 1.4% 0.7% 1.7% 1.6% 2.0% 2.6% 4.5% 8.2% 13.3% 22.8% 39.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.