Race 7A

maisa-fall-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Victroia Flatley 6.2% 6.2% 7.3% 8.0% 9.7% 9.4% 10.3% 11.3% 11.4% 9.6% 7.3% 2.5% 0.8%
Olivia de Olazarra 21.3% 20.0% 16.3% 12.4% 10.3% 8.3% 5.8% 2.7% 1.4% 1.0% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Katherine Bennett 6.1% 9.2% 8.3% 11.0% 11.1% 9.6% 11.6% 10.8% 9.1% 6.6% 4.9% 1.4% 0.3%
Amanda Majernik 10.0% 10.7% 13.0% 11.2% 11.1% 11.4% 11.1% 8.1% 7.4% 3.1% 2.1% 0.6% 0.2%
Heather Kerns 5.0% 5.4% 5.8% 5.7% 9.4% 6.6% 9.2% 10.4% 13.1% 12.5% 9.4% 5.8% 1.7%
Chiara Perotti Correa 8.3% 7.3% 8.9% 9.6% 8.6% 13.1% 9.3% 10.9% 9.0% 6.9% 6.1% 1.5% 0.5%
Morgan Sailer 8.6% 7.3% 8.7% 8.1% 8.9% 11.2% 9.8% 10.8% 9.5% 8.8% 5.7% 2.2% 0.4%
Clara Guarascio 2.1% 2.6% 3.2% 3.7% 3.2% 3.7% 5.6% 7.6% 9.1% 14.7% 16.3% 18.6% 9.6%
Bridget Green 19.0% 20.0% 13.8% 12.4% 11.0% 8.0% 6.4% 5.4% 2.4% 1.0% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Bridget Groble 10.1% 8.5% 10.5% 10.8% 10.2% 10.7% 10.1% 9.2% 8.2% 6.3% 3.4% 1.4% 0.6%
Sunrae Sturmer 1.5% 1.3% 1.7% 3.5% 2.6% 4.2% 5.5% 5.1% 8.7% 11.7% 18.2% 20.6% 15.4%
Hannah Mercurio 0.7% 0.9% 0.9% 1.5% 2.3% 2.2% 1.8% 4.2% 4.5% 7.6% 11.9% 21.8% 39.7%
Kristin Hess 1.1% 0.6% 1.6% 2.1% 1.6% 1.6% 3.5% 3.5% 6.2% 10.2% 13.6% 23.6% 30.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.