Race 8A

maisa-fall-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Olivia de Olazarra 21.9% 18.4% 17.0% 13.6% 9.8% 7.8% 4.4% 3.6% 2.1% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Bridget Green 20.8% 17.4% 14.7% 14.0% 11.6% 7.7% 5.8% 4.3% 1.8% 1.1% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Bridget Groble 7.3% 11.0% 9.3% 11.2% 8.5% 11.6% 10.0% 11.6% 9.1% 5.8% 3.4% 1.1% 0.1%
Katherine Bennett 7.0% 8.9% 8.1% 11.4% 11.5% 9.3% 9.2% 11.1% 9.8% 7.7% 4.0% 1.3% 0.7%
Morgan Sailer 8.5% 6.9% 9.3% 9.7% 8.1% 9.9% 10.6% 11.6% 10.4% 6.9% 6.1% 1.7% 0.3%
Chiara Perotti Correa 8.0% 8.6% 8.7% 7.7% 11.0% 10.9% 10.5% 8.5% 10.9% 8.3% 4.3% 2.0% 0.6%
Clara Guarascio 3.0% 2.5% 2.8% 2.5% 4.4% 5.1% 5.4% 6.4% 8.0% 13.9% 17.5% 17.8% 10.7%
Amanda Majernik 12.1% 10.2% 11.1% 11.4% 12.3% 10.8% 11.8% 8.3% 5.1% 4.4% 1.8% 0.7% 0.0%
Heather Kerns 4.4% 5.0% 6.2% 6.0% 6.5% 7.2% 10.0% 12.3% 12.9% 12.2% 8.3% 7.0% 2.0%
Kristin Hess 0.8% 1.4% 2.2% 1.8% 2.6% 2.4% 3.3% 3.4% 6.4% 8.7% 15.5% 21.9% 29.6%
Hannah Mercurio 0.8% 0.6% 1.3% 1.3% 1.9% 2.6% 3.5% 3.7% 6.1% 7.1% 15.1% 20.8% 35.2%
Sunrae Sturmer 1.0% 1.6% 2.3% 1.6% 3.8% 3.8% 4.9% 4.7% 5.2% 13.1% 15.9% 22.4% 19.7%
Victroia Flatley 4.4% 7.5% 7.0% 7.8% 8.0% 10.9% 10.6% 10.5% 12.2% 9.7% 7.0% 3.3% 1.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.