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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont0.84+3.92vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University0.46+4.31vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire-0.38+5.47vs Predicted
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4Bates College-0.58+4.97vs Predicted
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5Boston University0.97-1.20vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire0.10+0.53vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College0.05-2.02vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College1.17-3.84vs Predicted
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9Bentley University-0.45-0.53vs Predicted
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10Williams College-1.40+0.81vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College0.44-5.05vs Predicted
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12Maine Maritime Academy-0.82-2.42vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.20-2.53vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College-1.76-2.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.92University of Vermont0.8412.2%1st Place
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6.31Northeastern University0.467.5%1st Place
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8.47University of New Hampshire-0.383.4%1st Place
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8.97Bates College-0.583.1%1st Place
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3.8Boston University0.9720.9%1st Place
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6.53University of New Hampshire0.107.5%1st Place
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4.98Bowdoin College0.0511.8%1st Place
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4.16Dartmouth College1.1716.0%1st Place
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8.47Bentley University-0.453.3%1st Place
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10.81Williams College-1.401.4%1st Place
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5.95Bowdoin College0.447.8%1st Place
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9.58Maine Maritime Academy-0.822.6%1st Place
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10.47Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.201.6%1st Place
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11.59Middlebury College-1.760.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Smith | 12.2% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Boni | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Sean Lund | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 3.5% |
| Harrison Nash | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 5.9% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 20.9% | 17.1% | 14.9% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam Harris | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 11.8% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte West | 16.0% | 16.0% | 14.5% | 13.6% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John O'Connell | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 2.9% |
| Max Harthorne | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 13.7% | 18.4% | 23.8% |
| Sophie Brett | 7.8% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Isaac Thompson | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 13.9% | 14.2% | 9.3% |
| cole capizzo | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 14.1% | 17.7% | 17.0% |
| Talia Trigg | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 18.4% | 36.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.