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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Monmouth University1.95+2.33vs Predicted
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2Washington College2.36+0.83vs Predicted
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3Stevens Institute of Technology2.02+0.22vs Predicted
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4Villanova University0.76+1.26vs Predicted
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5Princeton University1.74-1.38vs Predicted
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7Penn State University-0.14-0.17vs Predicted
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8Ocean County College0.26-1.71vs Predicted
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9Drexel University0.70-3.52vs Predicted
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10University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.21-1.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.33Monmouth University1.950.2%1st Place
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2.83Washington College2.360.2%1st Place
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3.22Stevens Institute of Technology2.020.2%1st Place
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5.26Villanova University0.760.1%1st Place
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3.62Princeton University1.740.2%1st Place
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6.83Penn State University-0.140.0%1st Place
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6.29Ocean County College0.260.0%1st Place
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5.48Drexel University0.700.1%1st Place
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8.14University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Stevens | 18.7% | 19.0% | 19.1% | 16.9% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Lawler | 24.7% | 24.0% | 21.0% | 14.4% | 8.7% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Christian Geary | 21.3% | 18.8% | 17.9% | 17.5% | 12.3% | 8.5% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| William Joumas | 6.5% | 6.1% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 15.0% | 19.9% | 16.1% | 12.3% | 3.0% |
| John Marzulli | 16.6% | 17.2% | 16.9% | 16.4% | 13.9% | 10.5% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Jacob Snyder | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 20.4% | 29.3% | 18.2% |
| Rebecca Johnson | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 7.4% | 10.9% | 15.3% | 22.4% | 23.4% | 9.6% |
| Jennifer Mislinski | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 15.9% | 16.6% | 19.7% | 14.9% | 3.6% |
| Christopher Cormier | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 7.5% | 14.9% | 65.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.