Race 9A

maisa-fall-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Bridget Groble 8.8% 8.9% 10.2% 9.9% 10.4% 12.4% 9.7% 10.2% 8.9% 5.7% 3.3% 1.3% 0.3%
Amanda Majernik 10.0% 12.0% 11.1% 11.1% 12.1% 11.2% 10.3% 7.5% 7.6% 3.8% 2.3% 0.9% 0.1%
Katherine Bennett 6.0% 9.3% 9.7% 9.7% 11.1% 10.4% 9.9% 11.9% 8.9% 6.3% 4.7% 1.8% 0.3%
Olivia de Olazarra 22.7% 18.1% 15.9% 14.4% 10.3% 6.1% 6.2% 3.1% 1.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
Chiara Perotti Correa 8.7% 7.8% 8.2% 9.6% 9.6% 9.4% 10.7% 11.1% 9.6% 7.4% 5.2% 2.4% 0.3%
Morgan Sailer 6.6% 8.2% 9.5% 8.6% 8.5% 12.1% 10.4% 10.5% 9.3% 7.4% 6.2% 2.4% 0.3%
Bridget Green 20.5% 16.7% 16.4% 12.8% 10.3% 8.7% 5.8% 5.1% 2.2% 0.8% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Heather Kerns 4.4% 5.8% 5.6% 7.1% 6.8% 7.6% 10.7% 10.3% 12.4% 13.9% 8.1% 5.9% 1.4%
Clara Guarascio 2.1% 3.2% 2.4% 3.0% 4.1% 4.7% 4.2% 6.9% 8.4% 14.2% 17.8% 17.9% 11.1%
Victroia Flatley 6.8% 7.0% 7.0% 7.5% 9.3% 10.9% 10.9% 9.6% 10.6% 9.7% 6.0% 3.4% 1.3%
Sunrae Sturmer 1.4% 1.4% 1.5% 2.4% 4.3% 3.1% 5.1% 6.2% 9.2% 12.9% 17.9% 18.8% 15.8%
Hannah Mercurio 0.9% 0.8% 0.9% 1.6% 1.8% 1.3% 3.4% 3.7% 5.0% 7.2% 13.1% 21.5% 38.8%
Kristin Hess 1.1% 0.8% 1.6% 2.3% 1.4% 2.1% 2.7% 3.9% 6.0% 9.8% 14.5% 23.6% 30.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.