Race 10A

maisa-fall-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Olivia de Olazarra 21.5% 17.4% 16.4% 14.0% 11.6% 7.0% 5.9% 2.7% 2.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Amanda Majernik 9.7% 12.2% 10.5% 13.0% 10.9% 10.5% 9.5% 9.6% 7.6% 3.1% 2.6% 0.6% 0.2%
Morgan Sailer 5.6% 7.4% 8.5% 10.1% 9.9% 9.9% 10.8% 11.4% 9.5% 8.6% 6.0% 1.7% 0.6%
Bridget Green 19.5% 18.2% 14.4% 13.9% 11.9% 8.1% 6.2% 4.1% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%
Katherine Bennett 9.1% 8.2% 9.9% 10.4% 8.4% 9.7% 10.4% 12.2% 8.4% 7.1% 4.2% 1.9% 0.1%
Chiara Perotti Correa 7.3% 8.5% 9.2% 7.8% 9.9% 12.1% 10.8% 10.0% 8.2% 7.8% 6.3% 1.9% 0.2%
Bridget Groble 10.2% 10.2% 10.4% 8.4% 10.3% 11.4% 11.6% 8.4% 8.5% 5.8% 3.0% 1.6% 0.2%
Victroia Flatley 6.2% 7.4% 7.4% 7.3% 8.9% 9.9% 11.3% 10.1% 12.3% 10.0% 4.7% 4.0% 0.5%
Clara Guarascio 1.9% 2.7% 2.9% 3.5% 4.6% 3.6% 4.6% 6.7% 8.9% 14.3% 17.7% 17.2% 11.4%
Heather Kerns 5.9% 4.2% 5.7% 6.1% 7.6% 8.1% 9.6% 11.5% 11.6% 12.1% 9.7% 5.0% 2.9%
Sunrae Sturmer 1.4% 1.3% 2.0% 3.0% 2.8% 4.5% 4.5% 5.8% 8.8% 12.8% 19.0% 19.2% 14.9%
Kristin Hess 0.8% 1.3% 1.4% 0.9% 1.8% 3.4% 2.7% 5.0% 5.9% 8.3% 14.6% 22.9% 31.0%
Hannah Mercurio 0.9% 1.0% 1.3% 1.6% 1.4% 1.8% 2.1% 2.5% 5.7% 8.3% 11.7% 23.8% 37.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.