Race 1B

maisa-fall-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Sofia Segalla 12.1% 11.0% 11.6% 13.8% 9.6% 12.4% 10.7% 8.0% 5.6% 2.8% 1.9% 0.3% 0.2%
Emma AuBuchon 7.6% 8.7% 10.3% 8.8% 11.7% 12.3% 11.5% 10.5% 8.9% 6.1% 2.7% 0.8% 0.1%
Piper Holthus 17.4% 17.7% 15.4% 13.4% 13.7% 8.7% 5.9% 4.7% 2.4% 0.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Eva Blauvelt 16.6% 15.7% 14.5% 13.0% 12.4% 10.3% 7.6% 4.9% 3.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Lily Flack 4.2% 3.8% 4.4% 6.3% 6.6% 8.4% 8.0% 11.4% 14.9% 13.7% 11.3% 5.9% 1.1%
Lilly Myers 19.1% 18.1% 15.2% 13.8% 10.9% 7.9% 6.4% 4.3% 3.0% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
Camille McGriff 7.8% 7.9% 8.7% 9.1% 8.0% 10.0% 13.4% 11.3% 10.5% 7.0% 5.3% 0.9% 0.1%
Elizabeth Cutler 6.7% 7.7% 8.1% 8.7% 9.7% 11.2% 11.6% 12.3% 12.1% 6.2% 4.0% 1.4% 0.3%
Elizabeth Gildea 5.4% 5.2% 6.6% 6.9% 8.4% 8.6% 11.2% 13.7% 11.8% 12.9% 6.4% 2.2% 0.7%
Elizabeth Harrington 0.5% 1.0% 1.7% 1.0% 2.6% 1.9% 2.4% 3.5% 5.7% 9.9% 16.2% 22.1% 31.5%
Morgan Essex 1.3% 1.1% 1.6% 2.5% 2.9% 4.0% 5.0% 6.7% 9.2% 17.6% 18.6% 18.2% 11.3%
Laura Smith 0.6% 1.1% 0.8% 1.7% 1.7% 1.8% 4.1% 4.5% 6.8% 10.5% 16.5% 23.5% 26.4%
Jessica Schaefer 0.7% 1.0% 1.1% 1.0% 1.8% 2.5% 2.2% 4.2% 5.5% 11.0% 16.4% 24.5% 28.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.