Race 2B

maisa-fall-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

76.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Lilly Myers 19.0% 15.2% 16.6% 13.7% 11.9% 8.5% 7.9% 3.5% 2.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Piper Holthus 19.1% 16.8% 16.9% 13.5% 9.9% 8.9% 6.4% 5.3% 1.5% 1.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Sofia Segalla 10.1% 11.8% 12.7% 12.7% 11.2% 12.8% 10.0% 9.2% 4.7% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Elizabeth Gildea 4.9% 5.3% 5.5% 8.9% 8.8% 8.9% 11.1% 12.7% 12.3% 10.9% 8.0% 2.2% 0.5%
Eva Blauvelt 16.2% 17.4% 13.8% 12.8% 11.3% 10.3% 8.3% 4.6% 3.1% 1.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Camille McGriff 7.3% 7.9% 7.7% 8.5% 9.9% 10.0% 13.5% 10.8% 11.2% 7.0% 4.4% 1.7% 0.1%
Emma AuBuchon 9.1% 9.7% 9.9% 8.2% 11.2% 12.7% 10.1% 10.0% 9.7% 6.4% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1%
Lily Flack 3.4% 5.6% 3.8% 5.1% 6.1% 7.2% 8.9% 12.8% 14.3% 15.1% 10.3% 5.8% 1.6%
Elizabeth Cutler 7.1% 7.4% 7.4% 9.2% 11.1% 10.1% 11.9% 11.5% 10.6% 8.2% 3.7% 1.4% 0.4%
Laura Smith 0.9% 0.6% 2.0% 1.8% 2.7% 2.1% 2.9% 4.0% 7.5% 10.2% 17.4% 24.6% 23.3%
Morgan Essex 1.1% 1.3% 1.5% 2.2% 3.6% 4.5% 3.8% 6.7% 11.3% 15.6% 19.2% 17.5% 11.7%
Jessica Schaefer 0.9% 0.5% 1.2% 1.9% 1.3% 2.2% 2.7% 5.9% 5.7% 9.5% 16.7% 22.1% 29.4%
Elizabeth Harrington 0.9% 0.5% 1.0% 1.5% 1.0% 1.8% 2.5% 3.0% 6.0% 9.4% 15.9% 23.6% 32.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.