Race 3B

maisa-fall-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Lilly Myers 18.3% 17.0% 16.7% 12.6% 10.4% 11.1% 6.1% 4.5% 1.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Sofia Segalla 11.4% 11.5% 13.0% 11.7% 13.2% 10.8% 10.7% 6.6% 6.7% 2.3% 1.7% 0.4% 0.0%
Emma AuBuchon 7.7% 8.1% 9.9% 10.9% 10.6% 8.4% 15.6% 10.9% 8.9% 5.5% 2.8% 0.5% 0.2%
Elizabeth Cutler 6.4% 7.9% 7.9% 8.9% 10.4% 11.5% 11.9% 11.7% 10.4% 7.9% 3.5% 1.3% 0.3%
Camille McGriff 8.4% 6.9% 8.8% 8.8% 9.0% 11.3% 12.1% 10.5% 11.2% 7.6% 3.7% 1.5% 0.2%
Lily Flack 3.9% 4.3% 3.7% 5.8% 6.5% 8.5% 8.7% 11.6% 14.9% 14.7% 9.7% 6.1% 1.6%
Piper Holthus 19.7% 17.8% 15.5% 13.6% 10.3% 9.0% 6.0% 5.1% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Morgan Essex 1.2% 2.0% 2.1% 2.7% 3.2% 3.1% 3.3% 6.4% 9.7% 15.5% 17.1% 21.2% 12.5%
Eva Blauvelt 16.1% 16.2% 13.9% 12.1% 12.1% 10.6% 7.9% 5.7% 3.4% 1.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Laura Smith 0.7% 0.9% 1.8% 2.1% 2.3% 2.4% 2.9% 4.0% 6.0% 12.6% 16.7% 21.8% 25.8%
Jessica Schaefer 0.8% 0.9% 0.6% 1.2% 2.4% 2.8% 3.3% 4.8% 5.9% 11.9% 21.0% 20.9% 23.5%
Elizabeth Gildea 4.7% 5.6% 5.2% 8.3% 8.4% 8.9% 9.1% 14.3% 12.9% 10.9% 6.8% 3.6% 1.3%
Elizabeth Harrington 0.7% 0.9% 0.9% 1.3% 1.2% 1.6% 2.4% 3.9% 5.8% 8.2% 16.0% 22.5% 34.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.