Race 6B

maisa-fall-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Lilly Myers 21.8% 18.2% 16.5% 14.9% 10.6% 7.7% 5.2% 2.8% 1.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Camille McGriff 8.0% 8.0% 9.5% 8.0% 14.0% 11.5% 10.9% 10.5% 8.4% 6.7% 2.8% 1.5% 0.2%
Sofia Segalla 12.0% 14.5% 14.6% 10.3% 12.8% 11.2% 10.6% 6.8% 4.1% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Emma AuBuchon 10.2% 9.8% 9.4% 12.8% 11.9% 10.8% 10.9% 9.1% 7.8% 4.6% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2%
Elizabeth Gildea 7.1% 6.6% 7.1% 10.3% 8.4% 11.4% 11.0% 11.1% 10.4% 9.5% 4.6% 2.4% 0.1%
Morgan Essex 1.2% 1.9% 2.4% 3.1% 3.0% 3.2% 5.5% 7.2% 10.7% 12.7% 18.6% 19.1% 11.4%
Piper Holthus 21.9% 19.7% 16.5% 12.2% 10.1% 8.6% 4.7% 3.8% 1.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Elizabeth Cutler 8.1% 8.8% 10.1% 9.7% 10.7% 11.2% 13.1% 10.9% 8.3% 4.7% 2.9% 1.2% 0.3%
Lily Flack 4.1% 5.1% 4.7% 5.9% 6.8% 7.3% 10.4% 11.6% 14.1% 13.1% 10.6% 4.4% 1.9%
Elizabeth Harrington 0.8% 1.3% 1.2% 1.8% 2.0% 3.7% 2.3% 3.6% 6.5% 11.2% 13.6% 20.8% 31.2%
Carlyn Blauvelt 2.9% 4.4% 5.0% 7.9% 6.1% 8.1% 8.5% 12.4% 13.5% 11.8% 12.8% 4.6% 2.0%
Laura Smith 0.9% 1.0% 1.5% 1.5% 1.8% 3.3% 4.2% 5.1% 5.8% 11.5% 15.4% 22.6% 25.4%
Jessica Schaefer 1.0% 0.7% 1.5% 1.6% 1.8% 2.0% 2.7% 5.1% 7.3% 10.6% 15.7% 22.7% 27.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.