Race 7B

maisa-fall-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Sofia Segalla 12.2% 12.1% 12.6% 11.1% 12.3% 12.5% 10.4% 7.9% 4.9% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Camille McGriff 6.8% 7.7% 8.5% 10.0% 9.4% 12.1% 12.4% 11.0% 10.0% 6.8% 3.4% 1.6% 0.3%
Lilly Myers 18.4% 16.6% 16.6% 14.4% 11.7% 9.9% 5.9% 3.7% 1.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Lily Flack 3.3% 4.1% 4.5% 5.4% 7.6% 7.4% 10.3% 12.1% 14.0% 12.8% 11.0% 5.7% 1.8%
Elizabeth Gildea 5.6% 5.7% 8.2% 7.4% 9.4% 8.6% 11.6% 13.3% 13.3% 8.1% 6.0% 2.5% 0.3%
Caroline Sandoval 3.8% 4.5% 5.5% 6.0% 6.9% 9.3% 9.9% 12.9% 14.4% 11.7% 8.9% 4.9% 1.3%
Eva Blauvelt 17.2% 15.8% 16.0% 13.6% 11.1% 8.3% 8.1% 5.3% 2.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Piper Holthus 19.6% 19.7% 12.5% 14.6% 12.5% 9.9% 5.9% 2.9% 1.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Morgan Essex 1.4% 2.1% 2.7% 2.3% 2.9% 3.1% 4.3% 5.7% 9.8% 14.9% 18.5% 16.5% 15.8%
Emma AuBuchon 9.0% 9.9% 9.7% 10.9% 11.5% 11.1% 10.5% 11.2% 7.4% 5.3% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
Elizabeth Harrington 0.9% 0.5% 0.7% 1.2% 1.5% 3.2% 3.4% 4.7% 7.1% 11.6% 15.4% 22.5% 27.3%
Laura Smith 0.8% 0.7% 1.6% 1.4% 1.6% 2.3% 4.4% 4.0% 7.1% 12.0% 15.4% 24.1% 24.6%
Jessica Schaefer 1.0% 0.6% 0.9% 1.7% 1.6% 2.3% 2.9% 5.3% 6.3% 10.6% 17.3% 21.1% 28.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.