Race 8B

maisa-fall-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Camille McGriff 6.9% 7.0% 8.6% 9.0% 10.2% 12.9% 11.8% 12.2% 9.1% 7.0% 3.8% 1.2% 0.3%
Eva Blauvelt 16.3% 15.9% 14.2% 14.6% 12.6% 10.1% 6.6% 4.9% 3.1% 1.0% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Piper Holthus 18.8% 18.6% 15.6% 14.6% 12.4% 7.4% 6.5% 3.7% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Elizabeth Gildea 4.2% 6.4% 6.5% 7.8% 10.3% 8.2% 13.2% 11.1% 13.3% 9.9% 6.2% 2.6% 0.3%
Sofia Segalla 12.1% 13.1% 12.1% 12.3% 12.0% 11.2% 10.6% 7.0% 6.1% 2.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.1%
Lilly Myers 19.9% 17.4% 16.9% 14.2% 9.6% 9.3% 5.5% 4.0% 1.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Emma AuBuchon 9.7% 8.3% 11.8% 9.8% 10.0% 12.8% 10.8% 11.6% 7.9% 4.4% 2.1% 0.6% 0.2%
Morgan Essex 1.3% 2.3% 2.1% 1.9% 3.6% 3.4% 4.9% 6.1% 10.5% 12.5% 19.2% 20.3% 11.9%
Lily Flack 3.7% 4.1% 5.0% 5.1% 5.4% 8.7% 9.1% 13.7% 12.7% 15.3% 10.3% 5.0% 1.9%
Caroline Sandoval 4.5% 4.9% 4.3% 6.7% 7.0% 8.7% 11.3% 12.0% 13.0% 12.8% 7.9% 4.3% 2.6%
Laura Smith 0.9% 0.6% 0.8% 1.5% 2.6% 3.7% 3.4% 5.8% 7.8% 12.3% 18.6% 20.9% 21.1%
Jessica Schaefer 0.9% 0.8% 1.1% 1.4% 2.4% 2.3% 3.2% 4.6% 6.7% 11.4% 15.1% 21.0% 29.1%
Elizabeth Harrington 0.8% 0.6% 1.0% 1.1% 1.9% 1.3% 3.1% 3.3% 6.3% 9.5% 14.7% 23.9% 32.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.