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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University0.97+2.79vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College0.05+2.91vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont0.84+2.07vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College1.17+0.08vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire0.10+1.56vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University0.46+0.32vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire-0.38+1.39vs Predicted
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8Bentley University-0.45+0.45vs Predicted
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9Williams College-1.40+1.89vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College0.44-4.11vs Predicted
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11Maine Maritime Academy-0.82-1.47vs Predicted
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12Bates College-0.58-3.18vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.20-2.31vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College-1.76-2.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.79Boston University0.9719.6%1st Place
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4.91Bowdoin College0.0512.6%1st Place
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5.07University of Vermont0.8410.3%1st Place
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4.08Dartmouth College1.1717.8%1st Place
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6.56University of New Hampshire0.107.0%1st Place
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6.32Northeastern University0.467.8%1st Place
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8.39University of New Hampshire-0.383.7%1st Place
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8.45Bentley University-0.453.0%1st Place
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10.89Williams College-1.401.7%1st Place
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5.89Bowdoin College0.448.5%1st Place
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9.53Maine Maritime Academy-0.822.1%1st Place
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8.82Bates College-0.583.7%1st Place
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10.69Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.201.2%1st Place
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11.62Middlebury College-1.760.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elliott Mendenhall | 19.6% | 17.1% | 15.7% | 13.5% | 11.6% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 12.6% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Cooper Smith | 10.3% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte West | 17.8% | 15.8% | 14.1% | 12.9% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Harris | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Aidan Boni | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Sean Lund | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 7.3% | 2.6% |
| John O'Connell | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 3.5% |
| Max Harthorne | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 13.0% | 20.5% | 23.6% |
| Sophie Brett | 8.5% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Isaac Thompson | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 13.1% | 14.1% | 14.0% | 8.2% |
| Harrison Nash | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 4.5% |
| cole capizzo | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 11.6% | 15.0% | 17.4% | 20.0% |
| Talia Trigg | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 18.0% | 36.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.