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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Monmouth University1.95+2.33vs Predicted
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2Stevens Institute of Technology2.02+1.35vs Predicted
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3Washington College2.36-0.29vs Predicted
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4Drexel University0.70+1.37vs Predicted
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5Princeton University1.74-1.36vs Predicted
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7Penn State University-0.14-0.16vs Predicted
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8Ocean County College0.26-1.73vs Predicted
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9Villanova University0.76-3.65vs Predicted
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10University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.21-1.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.33Monmouth University1.950.2%1st Place
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3.35Stevens Institute of Technology2.020.2%1st Place
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2.71Washington College2.360.3%1st Place
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5.37Drexel University0.700.1%1st Place
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3.64Princeton University1.740.2%1st Place
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6.84Penn State University-0.140.0%1st Place
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6.27Ocean County College0.260.0%1st Place
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5.35Villanova University0.760.1%1st Place
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8.14University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Stevens | 18.7% | 19.1% | 18.9% | 16.9% | 12.5% | 9.3% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Christian Geary | 15.4% | 21.7% | 20.8% | 16.0% | 13.2% | 7.7% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Matt Lawler | 29.8% | 22.5% | 17.0% | 16.3% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Mislinski | 5.5% | 6.2% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 15.1% | 20.2% | 16.6% | 13.4% | 3.5% |
| John Marzulli | 16.6% | 17.1% | 17.0% | 16.3% | 12.9% | 11.3% | 6.2% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Jacob Snyder | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 11.4% | 19.5% | 30.1% | 18.0% |
| Rebecca Johnson | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 7.2% | 10.9% | 15.6% | 22.4% | 23.0% | 9.7% |
| William Joumas | 6.9% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 16.4% | 15.8% | 19.2% | 13.5% | 3.1% |
| Christopher Cormier | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 7.5% | 15.0% | 65.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.