Race 9B

maisa-fall-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Sofia Segalla 12.4% 11.5% 13.5% 10.9% 13.5% 10.7% 10.8% 7.8% 4.0% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Piper Holthus 19.1% 18.7% 15.4% 14.3% 11.0% 9.1% 5.7% 3.6% 1.8% 0.7% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Lilly Myers 18.7% 17.8% 14.7% 12.8% 13.7% 9.5% 6.5% 3.7% 1.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Camille McGriff 5.1% 9.3% 7.6% 9.2% 11.3% 11.8% 11.1% 13.0% 9.4% 7.0% 3.5% 1.4% 0.3%
Emma AuBuchon 9.1% 9.5% 10.7% 11.0% 9.5% 12.6% 10.8% 10.3% 8.2% 4.9% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1%
Eva Blauvelt 16.9% 15.6% 16.0% 15.2% 11.2% 8.9% 7.2% 4.7% 2.6% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Caroline Sandoval 5.8% 3.9% 5.3% 6.8% 6.7% 8.4% 9.6% 11.5% 15.4% 11.4% 9.5% 4.8% 0.9%
Elizabeth Gildea 5.3% 6.4% 5.5% 7.9% 8.3% 11.3% 13.4% 11.5% 12.8% 10.1% 4.6% 2.4% 0.5%
Lily Flack 4.0% 3.1% 6.0% 4.8% 6.0% 7.6% 8.8% 14.3% 13.3% 14.5% 10.3% 5.3% 2.0%
Morgan Essex 1.4% 2.0% 2.0% 2.8% 3.1% 3.4% 4.7% 5.1% 10.5% 13.5% 19.0% 18.7% 13.8%
Laura Smith 0.9% 0.6% 0.9% 2.0% 2.5% 2.7% 4.8% 5.8% 6.9% 11.9% 17.6% 22.9% 20.5%
Elizabeth Harrington 0.5% 0.8% 1.3% 1.2% 1.4% 2.0% 3.5% 4.4% 6.3% 9.0% 14.0% 22.4% 33.2%
Jessica Schaefer 0.8% 0.8% 1.1% 1.1% 1.8% 2.0% 3.1% 4.3% 7.1% 12.0% 16.3% 21.0% 28.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.