Race 10B

maisa-fall-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Sofia Segalla 14.3% 14.5% 13.1% 13.5% 12.7% 9.6% 10.3% 5.3% 3.6% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Lilly Myers 23.3% 18.3% 17.0% 14.2% 11.1% 6.0% 5.0% 2.8% 1.0% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Elizabeth Gildea 4.9% 7.1% 8.2% 7.7% 11.2% 10.7% 11.9% 10.6% 13.0% 8.7% 3.5% 1.7% 0.8%
Lily Flack 3.8% 4.2% 5.9% 6.5% 7.9% 9.0% 11.3% 11.8% 11.4% 12.2% 8.6% 6.0% 1.4%
Carlyn Blauvelt 4.5% 4.8% 3.4% 7.1% 7.3% 8.4% 9.2% 10.8% 14.2% 11.6% 10.4% 6.4% 1.9%
Camille McGriff 8.3% 9.0% 10.8% 10.8% 11.6% 10.0% 12.0% 10.1% 7.4% 5.5% 3.5% 0.9% 0.1%
Emma AuBuchon 10.8% 10.6% 11.7% 10.8% 11.3% 13.2% 9.3% 10.4% 6.2% 2.8% 1.8% 1.1% 0.0%
Piper Holthus 20.6% 21.6% 17.0% 15.1% 10.2% 8.1% 3.3% 2.5% 1.0% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Morgan Essex 1.6% 2.6% 2.3% 2.9% 3.0% 4.1% 5.5% 7.1% 8.5% 14.4% 16.7% 16.2% 15.1%
Caroline Sandoval 5.1% 5.3% 5.6% 7.1% 7.3% 12.0% 9.7% 11.7% 12.7% 10.2% 7.5% 3.7% 2.1%
Elizabeth Harrington 0.7% 0.7% 1.3% 1.3% 2.2% 3.4% 4.2% 6.3% 5.9% 11.2% 14.7% 22.1% 26.0%
Jessica Schaefer 0.9% 0.8% 1.5% 1.6% 2.3% 2.7% 4.3% 5.1% 7.8% 9.0% 14.2% 23.0% 26.8%
Laura Smith 1.2% 0.5% 2.2% 1.4% 1.9% 2.8% 4.0% 5.5% 7.3% 10.7% 18.0% 18.7% 25.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.