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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.43+6.71vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan2.03+1.45vs Predicted
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3University of Notre Dame0.64+4.17vs Predicted
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4University of Illinois1.49+0.70vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University1.10+0.70vs Predicted
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6Grand Valley State University1.18-0.50vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin0.85-0.58vs Predicted
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8Purdue University0.56-0.71vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University0.94-2.68vs Predicted
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10University of Saint Thomas0.60-2.81vs Predicted
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11Michigan Technological University-0.05-2.09vs Predicted
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12Lake Forest College-0.85-0.98vs Predicted
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13Marquette University-0.20-3.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.71University of Wisconsin0.430.1%1st Place
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3.45University of Michigan2.030.2%1st Place
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7.17University of Notre Dame0.640.0%1st Place
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4.7University of Illinois1.490.1%1st Place
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5.7Ohio State University1.100.1%1st Place
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5.5Grand Valley State University1.180.1%1st Place
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6.42University of Wisconsin0.850.1%1st Place
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7.29Purdue University0.560.1%1st Place
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6.32Northwestern University0.940.1%1st Place
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7.19University of Saint Thomas0.600.1%1st Place
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8.91Michigan Technological University-0.050.0%1st Place
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11.02Lake Forest College-0.850.0%1st Place
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9.61Marquette University-0.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marissa Tegeder | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 4.5% |
| Jenna Probst | 24.2% | 18.6% | 17.7% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Gallagher | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 3.3% |
| Tarkan Bolat | 12.9% | 14.9% | 13.7% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| William Carroll | 9.8% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Liam Walz | 9.7% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Ella Reinemann | 8.9% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 1.8% |
| Odey Hariri | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 3.2% |
| Will Davies | 7.7% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 1.6% |
| Rachel Bartel | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 4.2% |
| Donny Marwin | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 13.7% | 16.5% | 12.0% |
| Lucia Marquez | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 8.7% | 15.8% | 48.5% |
| Brittany Shabino | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 14.0% | 19.1% | 19.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.