Race 8A

mcsa-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Will Davies 7.5% 8.8% 8.0% 9.3% 10.3% 10.0% 11.7% 9.5% 8.8% 7.9% 6.2% 2.0%
Rachel Bartel 5.1% 5.8% 7.4% 6.8% 7.9% 11.0% 8.1% 10.2% 12.1% 11.6% 9.1% 4.9%
Odey Hariri 6.5% 5.0% 6.7% 7.1% 8.5% 8.1% 9.1% 9.6% 10.7% 13.4% 11.1% 4.2%
Ella Reinemann 5.9% 7.9% 9.5% 9.0% 8.3% 10.2% 10.5% 11.5% 8.8% 7.7% 7.7% 3.0%
Joseph Gallagher 5.1% 7.6% 7.6% 8.6% 7.3% 8.6% 9.9% 10.4% 9.7% 10.1% 9.7% 5.4%
Marissa Tegeder 4.9% 4.8% 6.3% 6.3% 6.0% 7.6% 10.0% 8.9% 12.7% 12.6% 13.1% 6.8%
Liam Walz 10.6% 11.5% 12.0% 9.0% 12.6% 9.2% 10.2% 7.9% 6.9% 5.6% 2.9% 1.6%
Jenna Probst 26.6% 19.0% 12.5% 14.2% 11.3% 6.7% 3.8% 3.0% 1.6% 0.9% 0.4% 0.0%
William Carroll 9.0% 11.5% 10.4% 13.6% 9.5% 9.2% 9.2% 10.9% 7.3% 6.4% 2.2% 0.8%
Tarkan Bolat 14.5% 14.1% 14.4% 10.6% 10.5% 11.2% 8.9% 6.8% 4.4% 2.1% 2.4% 0.1%
Donny Marwin 3.1% 2.4% 3.4% 3.4% 5.8% 5.3% 6.3% 7.5% 10.7% 13.6% 19.7% 18.8%
Lucia Marquez 1.2% 1.6% 1.8% 2.1% 2.0% 2.9% 2.3% 3.8% 6.3% 8.1% 15.5% 52.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.