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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University0.97+2.87vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College0.44+4.00vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont0.84+1.95vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College0.05+1.02vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College1.17-0.94vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University0.46+0.35vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire0.10-0.43vs Predicted
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8Williams College-1.40+2.90vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire-0.38-0.57vs Predicted
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10Bates College-0.58-1.31vs Predicted
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11Maine Maritime Academy-0.82-1.44vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.20-1.50vs Predicted
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13Bentley University-0.45-4.54vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College-1.76-2.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.87Boston University0.9718.5%1st Place
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6.0Bowdoin College0.448.7%1st Place
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4.95University of Vermont0.8413.5%1st Place
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5.02Bowdoin College0.0512.0%1st Place
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4.06Dartmouth College1.1716.6%1st Place
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6.35Northeastern University0.467.7%1st Place
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6.57University of New Hampshire0.106.8%1st Place
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10.9Williams College-1.401.5%1st Place
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8.43University of New Hampshire-0.382.8%1st Place
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8.69Bates College-0.583.5%1st Place
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9.56Maine Maritime Academy-0.822.5%1st Place
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10.5Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.201.2%1st Place
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8.46Bentley University-0.453.7%1st Place
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11.65Middlebury College-1.761.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elliott Mendenhall | 18.5% | 16.2% | 15.8% | 14.9% | 11.2% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Sophie Brett | 8.7% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Cooper Smith | 13.5% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 12.0% | 12.9% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Charlotte West | 16.6% | 15.8% | 15.4% | 14.0% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Boni | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Sam Harris | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Max Harthorne | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 19.8% | 23.7% |
| Sean Lund | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 6.6% | 3.5% |
| Harrison Nash | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 13.6% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 4.1% |
| Isaac Thompson | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 15.1% | 12.8% | 9.5% |
| cole capizzo | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 12.0% | 15.2% | 17.5% | 16.9% |
| John O'Connell | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 7.8% | 4.2% |
| Talia Trigg | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 12.3% | 19.5% | 36.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.