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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Virginia3.54+0.91vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.84+0.62vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland2.09-0.41vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University1.61-0.75vs Predicted
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6Hampton University1.84-1.95vs Predicted
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7William and Mary1.37-2.41vs Predicted
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8University of Virginia3.54-6.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.91University of Virginia3.540.5%1st Place
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2.62George Washington University2.840.2%1st Place
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3.59University of Maryland2.090.1%1st Place
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4.25Christopher Newport University1.610.1%1st Place
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4.05Hampton University1.840.1%1st Place
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4.59William and Mary1.370.0%1st Place
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1.91University of Virginia3.540.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gordon Wolcott | 46.2% | 29.4% | 15.7% | 5.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| William Ricketson | 25.0% | 27.8% | 20.9% | 15.2% | 8.5% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Russell Cramer | 10.5% | 15.7% | 21.0% | 21.1% | 20.7% | 11.0% | 0.0% |
| Victoria Miller | 6.6% | 8.8% | 14.0% | 19.7% | 25.5% | 25.4% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Shoemaker | 7.5% | 10.8% | 15.9% | 22.9% | 21.2% | 21.7% | 0.0% |
| Bill Parker | 4.2% | 7.5% | 12.5% | 15.4% | 22.0% | 38.4% | 0.0% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 46.2% | 29.4% | 15.7% | 5.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.