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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Virginia3.54+0.91vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.84+0.62vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland2.09+0.60vs Predicted
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5Hampton University1.84-1.02vs Predicted
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6William and Mary1.37-1.39vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University1.61-2.71vs Predicted
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8University of Virginia3.54-6.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.91University of Virginia3.540.5%1st Place
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2.62George Washington University2.840.2%1st Place
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3.6University of Maryland2.090.1%1st Place
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3.98Hampton University1.840.1%1st Place
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4.61William and Mary1.370.0%1st Place
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4.29Christopher Newport University1.610.1%1st Place
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1.91University of Virginia3.540.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gordon Wolcott | 46.4% | 29.1% | 15.4% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| William Ricketson | 24.5% | 28.3% | 21.2% | 15.2% | 8.2% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Russell Cramer | 11.1% | 15.0% | 20.8% | 21.1% | 20.3% | 11.7% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Shoemaker | 7.8% | 11.1% | 16.3% | 23.6% | 23.0% | 18.2% | 0.0% |
| Bill Parker | 4.3% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 15.9% | 22.0% | 39.0% | 0.0% |
| Victoria Miller | 5.9% | 8.9% | 15.1% | 18.7% | 23.4% | 28.0% | 0.0% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 46.4% | 29.1% | 15.4% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.