Race 7B

mcsa-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Hailey Feinzig 18.6% 17.0% 16.2% 13.6% 12.0% 9.9% 6.2% 4.3% 1.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Michael Rivkin 5.3% 9.8% 7.7% 8.2% 11.7% 12.0% 13.2% 15.0% 11.2% 4.8% 1.1% 0.0%
Mary Castellini 13.4% 10.7% 11.7% 13.0% 13.3% 11.6% 12.1% 8.5% 4.4% 1.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Lillian Nemeth 13.4% 14.6% 16.7% 12.1% 12.7% 11.3% 9.1% 6.0% 3.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Chase Ireland 1.7% 2.8% 3.3% 3.9% 4.3% 6.3% 8.8% 12.7% 17.4% 23.5% 12.6% 2.7%
Sherman Thompson 21.8% 19.5% 15.4% 13.7% 10.7% 8.8% 5.4% 3.5% 0.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholas Peluchiwski 10.2% 10.0% 11.3% 12.3% 11.9% 12.2% 12.5% 9.5% 6.4% 2.8% 0.8% 0.1%
Greg Bittle 9.5% 9.4% 9.9% 10.0% 10.1% 13.0% 12.2% 12.4% 8.4% 3.4% 1.7% 0.0%
Andrew Michels 3.6% 3.4% 4.3% 8.2% 8.6% 8.9% 13.3% 15.3% 17.2% 13.2% 3.6% 0.4%
Arthur Brown 1.0% 1.8% 2.2% 3.5% 2.6% 3.1% 3.4% 8.0% 16.8% 23.5% 24.3% 9.8%
Russell English 0.7% 0.4% 0.4% 0.5% 1.0% 0.4% 1.2% 1.5% 4.5% 8.5% 18.6% 62.3%
River Martin 0.8% 0.6% 0.9% 1.0% 1.1% 2.5% 2.6% 3.3% 8.3% 17.5% 36.8% 24.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.