Race 8B

mcsa-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Lillian Nemeth 14.2% 12.3% 14.1% 13.8% 12.5% 11.5% 11.1% 6.3% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Sherman Thompson 21.0% 19.7% 15.9% 13.8% 10.7% 10.0% 4.8% 3.1% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Hailey Feinzig 19.9% 17.1% 15.0% 13.6% 12.6% 9.5% 7.9% 2.9% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Mary Castellini 10.4% 13.7% 13.2% 13.1% 13.3% 11.5% 10.5% 8.0% 3.9% 2.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Nicholas Peluchiwski 9.5% 10.1% 11.5% 11.3% 12.1% 11.3% 12.1% 11.2% 6.5% 3.7% 0.7% 0.0%
Michael Rivkin 7.5% 7.1% 8.9% 7.7% 10.4% 12.4% 13.5% 14.0% 11.3% 5.2% 1.8% 0.2%
Chase Ireland 2.3% 3.5% 3.1% 3.8% 4.4% 6.1% 8.8% 12.5% 19.6% 21.3% 11.3% 3.3%
Andrew Michels 5.0% 4.2% 5.0% 6.3% 7.3% 9.6% 10.4% 15.9% 18.5% 12.8% 4.1% 0.9%
Greg Bittle 7.6% 9.8% 9.9% 11.5% 11.9% 12.7% 13.8% 12.0% 7.6% 2.8% 0.4% 0.0%
Arthur Brown 1.3% 1.5% 2.3% 2.9% 2.6% 2.6% 4.9% 8.5% 14.9% 24.4% 24.4% 9.7%
Russell English 0.7% 0.1% 0.6% 0.9% 0.6% 0.7% 0.5% 1.5% 5.0% 9.0% 18.8% 61.6%
River Martin 0.6% 0.9% 0.5% 1.3% 1.6% 2.1% 1.7% 4.1% 7.6% 17.2% 38.1% 24.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.