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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.41+2.45vs Predicted
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2University of Saint Thomas0.47+3.51vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin1.30+0.66vs Predicted
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4University of Notre Dame0.60+1.22vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University1.01-0.73vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin0.86-1.37vs Predicted
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7Grand Valley State University-0.24+0.01vs Predicted
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8Ohio State University-0.76+0.06vs Predicted
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9University of Illinois0.30-3.28vs Predicted
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10Lake Forest College-1.36-0.86vs Predicted
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11Purdue University-1.99-0.75vs Predicted
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12Michigan Technological University-2.70-0.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.45University of Michigan1.410.2%1st Place
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5.51University of Saint Thomas0.470.1%1st Place
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3.66University of Wisconsin1.300.2%1st Place
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5.22University of Notre Dame0.600.1%1st Place
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4.27Northwestern University1.010.1%1st Place
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4.63University of Wisconsin0.860.1%1st Place
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7.01Grand Valley State University-0.240.0%1st Place
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8.06Ohio State University-0.760.0%1st Place
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5.72University of Illinois0.300.1%1st Place
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9.14Lake Forest College-1.360.0%1st Place
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10.25Purdue University-1.990.0%1st Place
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11.09Michigan Technological University-2.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sherman Thompson | 22.4% | 18.1% | 16.2% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Greg Bittle | 6.8% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Hailey Feinzig | 20.1% | 16.8% | 15.2% | 13.4% | 12.6% | 10.2% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Peluchiwski | 7.6% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 12.1% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Lillian Nemeth | 14.2% | 15.6% | 13.9% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Castellini | 13.1% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 13.0% | 12.0% | 13.3% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 4.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Michels | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 11.6% | 15.7% | 18.4% | 11.9% | 4.9% | 1.4% |
| Chase Ireland | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 19.8% | 22.5% | 11.3% | 3.0% |
| Michael Rivkin | 6.1% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 14.8% | 9.2% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Arthur Brown | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 14.3% | 25.9% | 23.5% | 9.3% |
| River Martin | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 17.1% | 35.2% | 26.7% |
| Russell English | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 8.3% | 21.8% | 59.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.