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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University1.01+3.22vs Predicted
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2University of Notre Dame1.04+2.08vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin1.30+0.50vs Predicted
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4University of Saint Thomas0.47+1.38vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan0.53+0.25vs Predicted
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6Lake Forest College-1.36+3.22vs Predicted
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7University of Illinois0.30-1.34vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin0.86-3.58vs Predicted
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9Ohio State University-0.76-0.98vs Predicted
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10Grand Valley State University-0.24-3.10vs Predicted
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11Purdue University-1.99-0.73vs Predicted
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12Michigan Technological University-2.70-0.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.22Northwestern University1.010.1%1st Place
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4.08University of Notre Dame1.040.2%1st Place
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3.5University of Wisconsin1.300.2%1st Place
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5.38University of Saint Thomas0.470.1%1st Place
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5.25University of Michigan0.530.1%1st Place
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9.22Lake Forest College-1.360.0%1st Place
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5.66University of Illinois0.300.1%1st Place
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4.42University of Wisconsin0.860.1%1st Place
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8.02Ohio State University-0.760.0%1st Place
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6.9Grand Valley State University-0.240.0%1st Place
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10.27Purdue University-1.990.0%1st Place
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11.08Michigan Technological University-2.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lillian Nemeth | 14.8% | 12.8% | 15.2% | 13.5% | 13.8% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Szymanski | 15.2% | 16.1% | 14.9% | 13.0% | 13.2% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hailey Feinzig | 20.2% | 19.4% | 16.2% | 13.7% | 11.6% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Greg Bittle | 7.3% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 13.8% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 7.9% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Brody Schwartz | 9.2% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 4.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Arthur Brown | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 8.4% | 13.4% | 25.3% | 26.1% | 9.2% |
| Michael Rivkin | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 10.1% | 5.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Mary Castellini | 14.8% | 14.3% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Chase Ireland | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 22.9% | 20.0% | 10.9% | 1.3% |
| Andrew Michels | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 17.6% | 16.5% | 12.9% | 3.7% | 0.7% |
| River Martin | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 16.2% | 35.6% | 27.4% |
| Russell English | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 8.8% | 19.4% | 61.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.