Race 14B

mcsa-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

76.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Hailey Feinzig 18.9% 16.7% 15.2% 13.7% 11.4% 9.4% 5.9% 4.7% 2.2% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Thomas Szymanski 14.9% 13.5% 13.3% 13.7% 12.4% 9.3% 8.5% 6.9% 4.5% 2.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Lillian Nemeth 13.8% 14.2% 14.4% 11.7% 11.2% 11.4% 8.9% 6.6% 5.2% 1.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Greg Bittle 7.9% 8.7% 8.0% 11.5% 9.8% 12.4% 11.3% 9.4% 9.3% 7.5% 3.7% 0.3% 0.2%
Brody Schwartz 9.1% 10.0% 9.2% 11.2% 8.9% 9.4% 13.5% 9.1% 9.3% 6.5% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1%
Mary Castellini 11.6% 13.9% 13.0% 11.6% 12.1% 10.7% 8.5% 8.0% 6.3% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Michael Rivkin 8.0% 7.2% 10.1% 7.3% 9.3% 8.9% 11.5% 12.3% 11.5% 8.2% 4.3% 1.2% 0.2%
Chase Ireland 1.9% 3.8% 3.2% 3.4% 3.5% 4.7% 6.9% 8.8% 10.6% 19.6% 19.3% 12.6% 1.7%
Andrew Michels 4.3% 4.0% 4.8% 5.1% 6.9% 7.5% 8.3% 12.0% 14.2% 15.4% 11.8% 4.7% 1.0%
Emma Turner 7.3% 6.3% 6.6% 8.0% 9.9% 11.2% 9.3% 12.4% 11.0% 10.6% 5.0% 1.8% 0.6%
River Martin 0.8% 0.5% 0.5% 0.6% 1.6% 1.5% 3.0% 2.6% 5.6% 8.1% 17.9% 32.8% 24.5%
Arthur Brown 1.1% 0.9% 1.5% 2.2% 2.3% 2.7% 3.2% 5.5% 8.3% 12.9% 24.0% 25.0% 10.4%
Russell English 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.7% 0.9% 1.2% 1.7% 2.0% 2.8% 8.1% 20.4% 61.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.