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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Maryland2.09+2.63vs Predicted
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2University of Virginia3.54-0.09vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.84-0.40vs Predicted
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4Hampton University1.84-0.05vs Predicted
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6William and Mary1.37-1.39vs Predicted
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7University of Virginia3.54-5.09vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University1.61-3.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.63University of Maryland2.090.1%1st Place
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1.91University of Virginia3.540.5%1st Place
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2.6George Washington University2.840.2%1st Place
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3.95Hampton University1.840.1%1st Place
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4.61William and Mary1.370.0%1st Place
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1.91University of Virginia3.540.5%1st Place
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4.3Christopher Newport University1.610.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russell Cramer | 10.5% | 15.2% | 21.6% | 20.1% | 18.4% | 14.2% | 0.0% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 47.8% | 27.7% | 14.4% | 6.9% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| William Ricketson | 23.9% | 28.8% | 21.5% | 16.8% | 7.1% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Shoemaker | 7.8% | 11.8% | 18.0% | 20.2% | 24.3% | 17.9% | 0.0% |
| Bill Parker | 4.5% | 7.3% | 10.9% | 15.6% | 23.6% | 38.1% | 0.0% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 47.8% | 27.7% | 14.4% | 6.9% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Victoria Miller | 5.5% | 9.2% | 13.6% | 20.4% | 24.0% | 27.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.