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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bates College0.28+2.41vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.84+0.56vs Predicted
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3University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.32+0.39vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire-0.56+0.86vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College-0.14-0.82vs Predicted
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6Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.09-0.40vs Predicted
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7Bentley University-0.13-2.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.41Bates College0.280.2%1st Place
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2.56Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.3%1st Place
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3.39University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.320.2%1st Place
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4.86University of New Hampshire-0.560.1%1st Place
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4.18Middlebury College-0.140.1%1st Place
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5.6Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.090.0%1st Place
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4.01Bentley University-0.130.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Valentino | 18.8% | 18.3% | 17.3% | 15.9% | 13.7% | 10.4% | 5.6% |
| Stephen Poirier | 30.3% | 25.4% | 20.6% | 11.9% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 1.2% |
| Timothy Burns | 18.2% | 17.7% | 17.5% | 18.9% | 14.2% | 8.6% | 4.9% |
| Anne Berg | 6.2% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 15.8% | 24.5% | 22.5% |
| Nicholas Leshaw | 9.3% | 12.5% | 15.8% | 15.5% | 19.0% | 16.3% | 11.6% |
| Victor Lomba | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 19.8% | 45.3% |
| Dane Phippen | 12.9% | 13.5% | 12.4% | 16.4% | 19.8% | 16.1% | 8.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.