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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bates College0.28+2.39vs Predicted
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2Bentley University-0.13+2.07vs Predicted
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3University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.32+0.40vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.84-1.37vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College-0.14-0.80vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire-0.56-1.17vs Predicted
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7Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.09-1.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.39Bates College0.280.2%1st Place
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4.07Bentley University-0.130.1%1st Place
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3.4University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.320.2%1st Place
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2.63Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.3%1st Place
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4.2Middlebury College-0.140.1%1st Place
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4.83University of New Hampshire-0.560.1%1st Place
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5.48Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.090.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Valentino | 18.7% | 18.7% | 18.0% | 16.0% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 5.7% |
| Dane Phippen | 11.0% | 13.1% | 14.9% | 14.9% | 20.3% | 16.4% | 9.4% |
| Timothy Burns | 18.8% | 17.2% | 16.3% | 18.9% | 15.0% | 9.0% | 4.8% |
| Stephen Poirier | 30.5% | 23.8% | 18.1% | 13.1% | 10.1% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Nicholas Leshaw | 8.9% | 13.3% | 14.4% | 17.5% | 16.1% | 17.8% | 12.0% |
| Anne Berg | 7.0% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 16.2% | 22.8% | 22.9% |
| Victor Lomba | 5.1% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 20.3% | 44.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.