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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.84+1.57vs Predicted
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2Bates College0.28+1.39vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire-0.56+1.85vs Predicted
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4Bentley University-0.13+0.13vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.32-1.54vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College-0.14-1.86vs Predicted
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7Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.09-1.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.57Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.3%1st Place
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3.39Bates College0.280.2%1st Place
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4.85University of New Hampshire-0.560.1%1st Place
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4.13Bentley University-0.130.1%1st Place
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3.46University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.320.2%1st Place
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4.14Middlebury College-0.140.1%1st Place
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5.46Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.090.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Poirier | 33.5% | 22.5% | 18.0% | 12.1% | 8.4% | 4.4% | 1.1% |
| Jack Valentino | 16.6% | 19.5% | 17.7% | 18.8% | 14.0% | 9.1% | 4.3% |
| Anne Berg | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 13.4% | 16.9% | 22.3% | 23.0% |
| Dane Phippen | 11.0% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 16.7% | 17.9% | 16.8% | 11.3% |
| Timothy Burns | 15.6% | 20.0% | 18.4% | 15.7% | 14.1% | 11.5% | 4.7% |
| Nicholas Leshaw | 11.2% | 11.6% | 15.6% | 15.2% | 17.6% | 17.1% | 11.7% |
| Victor Lomba | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 18.8% | 43.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.