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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11+1.19vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire0.39+0.94vs Predicted
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3Bates College0.97-0.71vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College-0.52+0.02vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.30-1.11vs Predicted
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6Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.40-0.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.19Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.3%1st Place
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2.94University of New Hampshire0.390.2%1st Place
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2.29Bates College0.970.3%1st Place
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4.02Middlebury College-0.520.1%1st Place
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3.89University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.300.1%1st Place
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5.68Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Egeli | 34.6% | 31.0% | 19.7% | 10.9% | 3.4% | 0.4% |
| James Sullivan | 18.9% | 20.4% | 24.7% | 21.7% | 12.8% | 1.5% |
| Ted Lutton | 31.6% | 28.8% | 23.2% | 12.9% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Grace Augspurger | 7.5% | 7.5% | 14.5% | 24.1% | 39.1% | 7.3% |
| Kate Myler | 6.7% | 10.9% | 16.3% | 26.7% | 31.3% | 8.1% |
| Ryan Cloherty | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 3.7% | 10.5% | 82.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.