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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11+1.18vs Predicted
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2Bates College0.97+0.28vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire0.39-0.04vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.30-0.21vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College-0.52-0.89vs Predicted
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6Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.40-0.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.18Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.3%1st Place
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2.28Bates College0.970.3%1st Place
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2.96University of New Hampshire0.390.2%1st Place
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3.79University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.300.1%1st Place
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4.11Middlebury College-0.520.1%1st Place
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5.69Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Egeli | 34.6% | 31.2% | 19.9% | 10.3% | 3.6% | 0.4% |
| Ted Lutton | 33.8% | 27.4% | 21.9% | 11.7% | 4.6% | 0.6% |
| James Sullivan | 17.3% | 20.3% | 25.1% | 25.2% | 11.0% | 1.1% |
| Kate Myler | 7.7% | 11.4% | 18.5% | 23.9% | 34.0% | 4.5% |
| Grace Augspurger | 6.0% | 8.1% | 13.2% | 25.1% | 36.6% | 11.0% |
| Ryan Cloherty | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 3.8% | 10.2% | 82.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.