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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bates College0.97+1.32vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11+0.11vs Predicted
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3Middlebury College-1.37+1.88vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire0.39-1.07vs Predicted
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5Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.36+0.01vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.30-2.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.32Bates College0.970.3%1st Place
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2.11Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.4%1st Place
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4.88Middlebury College-1.370.0%1st Place
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2.93University of New Hampshire0.390.2%1st Place
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5.01Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.360.0%1st Place
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3.75University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.300.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ted Lutton | 30.3% | 30.4% | 22.2% | 12.2% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| Tyler Egeli | 38.8% | 28.3% | 20.3% | 9.1% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| William Procter | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 13.6% | 30.1% | 41.9% |
| James Sullivan | 17.1% | 20.2% | 27.8% | 24.1% | 8.8% | 2.0% |
| Jack Eddy | 2.0% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 11.1% | 30.4% | 45.9% |
| Kate Myler | 8.2% | 12.0% | 17.4% | 29.9% | 24.0% | 8.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.