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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11+1.16vs Predicted
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2Bates College0.97+0.26vs Predicted
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3Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.36+1.90vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College-1.37+0.93vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire0.39-2.01vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.30-2.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.16Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.4%1st Place
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2.26Bates College0.970.3%1st Place
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4.9Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.360.0%1st Place
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4.93Middlebury College-1.370.0%1st Place
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2.99University of New Hampshire0.390.2%1st Place
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3.77University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.300.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Egeli | 35.3% | 30.6% | 21.4% | 9.0% | 3.2% | 0.5% |
| Ted Lutton | 34.4% | 27.1% | 21.9% | 12.6% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Jack Eddy | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 13.4% | 28.1% | 44.0% |
| William Procter | 2.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 13.8% | 30.2% | 42.7% |
| James Sullivan | 16.3% | 21.3% | 26.4% | 22.3% | 10.7% | 3.0% |
| Kate Myler | 8.5% | 10.6% | 18.4% | 28.9% | 24.6% | 9.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.