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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11+1.15vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire0.39+0.91vs Predicted
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3Bates College0.97-0.76vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College-1.37+0.89vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.30-1.14vs Predicted
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6Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.36-1.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.15Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.4%1st Place
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2.91University of New Hampshire0.390.2%1st Place
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2.24Bates College0.970.3%1st Place
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4.89Middlebury College-1.370.0%1st Place
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3.86University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.300.1%1st Place
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4.96Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Egeli | 36.1% | 30.1% | 21.2% | 9.2% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| James Sullivan | 19.6% | 20.1% | 26.8% | 19.7% | 11.3% | 2.5% |
| Ted Lutton | 32.5% | 29.0% | 24.0% | 11.6% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| William Procter | 2.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 14.7% | 31.8% | 40.3% |
| Kate Myler | 6.9% | 12.3% | 16.2% | 29.9% | 22.2% | 12.5% |
| Jack Eddy | 2.3% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 14.9% | 30.0% | 43.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.