← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11+1.16vs Predicted
-
2Bates College0.97+0.26vs Predicted
-
3Middlebury College-1.37+1.90vs Predicted
-
4University of New Hampshire0.39-1.09vs Predicted
-
5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.30-1.18vs Predicted
-
6Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.36-1.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.16Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.4%1st Place
-
2.26Bates College0.970.3%1st Place
-
4.9Middlebury College-1.370.0%1st Place
-
2.91University of New Hampshire0.390.2%1st Place
-
3.82University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.300.1%1st Place
-
4.96Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Egeli | 35.3% | 30.7% | 21.3% | 9.0% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Ted Lutton | 33.7% | 28.3% | 21.8% | 11.6% | 4.1% | 0.5% |
| William Procter | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 13.4% | 29.7% | 42.9% |
| James Sullivan | 17.2% | 21.6% | 27.1% | 22.6% | 9.9% | 1.6% |
| Kate Myler | 7.7% | 11.2% | 18.5% | 28.3% | 22.6% | 11.7% |
| Jack Eddy | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 15.1% | 30.7% | 42.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.