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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.23+4.20vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.05+7.96vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.12+2.73vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.86+6.85vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.29+3.87vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.82+0.62vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.69+4.29vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.38+0.61vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.77+2.14vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont1.27+3.34vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.81-4.48vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12-2.46vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.47-4.96vs Predicted
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14Brown University1.83-2.77vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan0.75+1.03vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College0.86-0.89vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24+0.67vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.44-5.37vs Predicted
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19Connecticut College0.66-3.15vs Predicted
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20Northeastern University1.37-6.84vs Predicted
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21Bates College-0.59-1.38vs Predicted
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22Salve Regina University0.62-6.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.2University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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9.96Tufts University2.050.0%1st Place
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5.73Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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10.85University of South Florida1.860.0%1st Place
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8.87Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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6.62Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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11.29Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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8.61Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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11.14Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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13.34University of Vermont1.270.0%1st Place
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6.52Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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9.54Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.0%1st Place
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8.04Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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11.23Brown University1.830.0%1st Place
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16.03University of Michigan0.750.0%1st Place
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15.11Dartmouth College0.860.0%1st Place
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17.67Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
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12.63U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.440.0%1st Place
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15.85Connecticut College0.660.0%1st Place
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13.16Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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19.62Bates College-0.590.0%1st Place
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16.0Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kerem Erkmen | 14.9% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Eastman | 4.7% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 11.1% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Michels | 8.6% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Robitshek | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Mathieu Dale | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Flores | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Christian Cushman | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 1.5% |
| Thomas Hall | 10.6% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Cordelia Burn | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Mueller | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Billy Vogel | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 11.6% | 7.0% |
| Griffin Lapham | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 4.9% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 11.2% | 12.9% | 19.6% | 16.9% |
| Jack Derry | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.3% |
| Liam Gronda | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 7.4% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 1.3% |
| Colby Green | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 15.9% | 50.1% |
| Emil Tullberg | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 7.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.