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📊 Prediction Accuracy
13.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.05+9.05vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.82+4.63vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.12+2.72vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.83+6.89vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.47+3.17vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.29+2.85vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont1.27+6.12vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.38+0.55vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.23-3.87vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.86+0.69vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.81-4.44vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University0.62+4.26vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan0.75+2.64vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College0.86+1.49vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12-5.08vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.37-3.10vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.44-4.17vs Predicted
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18Boston University1.69-6.48vs Predicted
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19Tufts University1.77-8.04vs Predicted
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20Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24-2.47vs Predicted
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21Connecticut College0.66-5.09vs Predicted
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22Bates College-0.59-2.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.05Tufts University2.050.0%1st Place
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6.63Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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5.72Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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10.89Brown University1.830.0%1st Place
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8.17Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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8.85Brown University2.290.0%1st Place
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13.12University of Vermont1.270.0%1st Place
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8.55Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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5.13University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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10.69University of South Florida1.860.0%1st Place
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6.56Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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16.26Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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15.64University of Michigan0.750.0%1st Place
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15.49Dartmouth College0.860.0%1st Place
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9.92Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.0%1st Place
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12.9Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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12.83U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.440.0%1st Place
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11.52Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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10.96Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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17.53Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
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15.91Connecticut College0.660.0%1st Place
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19.68Bates College-0.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Eastman | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| William Michels | 10.1% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 11.2% | 12.7% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Mueller | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Cordelia Burn | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christian Cushman | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.1% |
| Mathieu Dale | 7.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 13.6% | 14.6% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Hall | 10.2% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 7.9% |
| Billy Vogel | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 6.5% |
| Griffin Lapham | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 5.3% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Jack Derry | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 1.0% |
| Noah Robitshek | 3.7% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Jack Flores | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 14.4% | 17.9% | 17.4% |
| Liam Gronda | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 13.5% | 13.1% | 7.2% |
| Colby Green | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 15.1% | 50.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.