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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.77+10.27vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.82+4.61vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+6.84vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.29+4.90vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.83+5.95vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.69+5.60vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.38+1.21vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.44+4.80vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont1.27+4.49vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.05-0.24vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.81-4.51vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.37+1.08vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island3.23-7.78vs Predicted
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14Yale University3.12-8.21vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.66+1.27vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan0.75-0.52vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida1.86-6.04vs Predicted
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18Bates College-0.59+1.66vs Predicted
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19Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24-1.69vs Predicted
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20Salve Regina University0.62-3.68vs Predicted
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21Dartmouth College0.86-5.92vs Predicted
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22Harvard University2.47-14.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.27Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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6.61Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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9.84Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.0%1st Place
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8.9Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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10.95Brown University1.830.0%1st Place
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11.6Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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8.21Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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12.8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.440.0%1st Place
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13.49University of Vermont1.270.0%1st Place
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9.76Tufts University2.050.0%1st Place
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6.49Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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13.08Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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5.22University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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5.79Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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16.27Connecticut College0.660.0%1st Place
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15.48University of Michigan0.750.0%1st Place
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10.96University of South Florida1.860.0%1st Place
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19.66Bates College-0.590.0%1st Place
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17.31Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
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16.32Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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15.08Dartmouth College0.860.0%1st Place
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7.91Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Flores | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| William Michels | 9.9% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Emily Mueller | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Noah Robitshek | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Mathieu Dale | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Derry | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Christian Cushman | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 1.8% |
| John Eastman | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Hall | 9.8% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Dillon | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 14.6% | 13.7% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 10.5% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Gronda | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 14.3% | 8.4% |
| Billy Vogel | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 6.1% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% |
| Colby Green | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 15.1% | 50.0% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 9.7% | 12.5% | 17.8% | 15.5% |
| Emil Tullberg | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 13.5% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 9.4% |
| Griffin Lapham | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 4.6% |
| Cordelia Burn | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.