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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.12+4.59vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.23+3.17vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.29+6.12vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.86+6.82vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+4.61vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.83+4.99vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont1.27+6.20vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.05+2.06vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University0.62+7.18vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.82-3.49vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.38-2.74vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.77-0.86vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.69-1.44vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.81-7.09vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.44-1.92vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.66-0.16vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College0.86-1.66vs Predicted
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18Bates College-0.59+1.68vs Predicted
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19Northeastern University1.37-6.16vs Predicted
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20University of Michigan0.75-4.20vs Predicted
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21Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24-3.64vs Predicted
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22Harvard University2.47-14.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.59Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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5.17University of Rhode Island3.230.2%1st Place
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9.12Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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10.82University of South Florida1.860.0%1st Place
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9.61Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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10.99Brown University1.830.0%1st Place
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13.2University of Vermont1.270.0%1st Place
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10.06Tufts University2.050.1%1st Place
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16.18Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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6.51Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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8.26Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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11.14Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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11.56Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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6.91Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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13.08U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.440.0%1st Place
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15.84Connecticut College0.660.0%1st Place
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15.34Dartmouth College0.860.0%1st Place
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19.68Bates College-0.590.0%1st Place
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12.84Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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15.8University of Michigan0.750.0%1st Place
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17.36Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
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7.96Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mia Nicolosi | 12.4% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 15.6% | 14.1% | 11.5% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emily Mueller | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Christian Cushman | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 1.2% |
| John Eastman | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Emil Tullberg | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 13.3% | 8.2% |
| William Michels | 8.1% | 12.5% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mathieu Dale | 6.2% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Flores | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Noah Robitshek | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Hall | 8.6% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Derry | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| Liam Gronda | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 14.2% | 7.1% |
| Griffin Lapham | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 6.6% |
| Colby Green | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 15.2% | 49.5% |
| Joshua Dillon | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.0% |
| Billy Vogel | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 12.8% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 7.7% |
| Andy Leshaw | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 13.3% | 19.8% | 15.7% |
| Cordelia Burn | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.