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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+8.68vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.82+4.64vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.77+8.48vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.81+2.78vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.05+5.01vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.12-0.46vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.44+5.39vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont1.27+5.57vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.29-0.16vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.69+1.39vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.23-5.94vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.38-3.60vs Predicted
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13Brown University1.83-2.07vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida1.86-2.83vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University0.62+1.47vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan0.75-0.53vs Predicted
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17Bates College-0.59+2.84vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University1.37-5.05vs Predicted
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19Dartmouth College0.86-3.98vs Predicted
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20Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24-2.45vs Predicted
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21Connecticut College0.66-5.15vs Predicted
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22Harvard University2.47-14.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.68Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.0%1st Place
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6.64Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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11.48Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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6.78Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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10.01Tufts University2.050.0%1st Place
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5.54Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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12.39U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.440.0%1st Place
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13.57University of Vermont1.270.0%1st Place
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8.84Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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11.39Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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5.06University of Rhode Island3.230.2%1st Place
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8.4Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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10.93Brown University1.830.0%1st Place
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11.17University of South Florida1.860.0%1st Place
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16.47Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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15.47University of Michigan0.750.0%1st Place
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19.84Bates College-0.590.0%1st Place
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12.95Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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15.02Dartmouth College0.860.0%1st Place
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17.55Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
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15.85Connecticut College0.660.0%1st Place
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7.97Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brooke Schmelz | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| William Michels | 11.0% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Flores | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Hall | 8.2% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Eastman | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 12.3% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 12.3% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Derry | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Christian Cushman | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 1.5% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Noah Robitshek | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 15.2% | 13.7% | 14.3% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mathieu Dale | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emily Mueller | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Emil Tullberg | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 15.1% | 7.8% |
| Billy Vogel | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 5.7% |
| Colby Green | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 8.3% | 14.1% | 52.7% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Griffin Lapham | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 4.4% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 18.4% | 17.1% |
| Liam Gronda | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 13.2% | 8.2% |
| Cordelia Burn | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.