← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University2.29+7.95vs Predicted
-
2Yale University3.12+3.55vs Predicted
-
3Dartmouth College2.82+3.81vs Predicted
-
4University of Rhode Island3.23+1.21vs Predicted
-
5Boston University1.69+6.58vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University1.77+5.22vs Predicted
-
7Bowdoin College2.81-0.46vs Predicted
-
8Harvard University2.47+0.21vs Predicted
-
9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+0.54vs Predicted
-
10Roger Williams University2.38-1.69vs Predicted
-
11University of South Florida1.86-0.43vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.44+0.70vs Predicted
-
13Northeastern University1.37+0.03vs Predicted
-
14University of Michigan0.75+1.91vs Predicted
-
15Brown University1.83-3.73vs Predicted
-
16Salve Regina University0.62-0.02vs Predicted
-
17University of Vermont1.27-3.34vs Predicted
-
18Bates College-0.59+1.71vs Predicted
-
19Connecticut College0.66-3.20vs Predicted
-
20Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24-2.46vs Predicted
-
21Dartmouth College0.86-5.91vs Predicted
-
22Tufts University2.05-12.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.95Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
-
5.55Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
-
6.81Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
-
5.21University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
-
11.58Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
-
11.22Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
-
6.54Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
-
8.21Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
-
9.54Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.0%1st Place
-
8.31Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
-
10.57University of South Florida1.860.0%1st Place
-
12.7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.440.0%1st Place
-
13.03Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
-
15.91University of Michigan0.750.0%1st Place
-
11.27Brown University1.830.0%1st Place
-
15.98Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
-
13.66University of Vermont1.270.0%1st Place
-
19.71Bates College-0.590.0%1st Place
-
15.8Connecticut College0.660.0%1st Place
-
17.54Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
-
15.09Dartmouth College0.860.0%1st Place
-
9.81Tufts University2.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leyton Borcherding | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 13.1% | 13.4% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Michels | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 14.2% | 13.6% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Robitshek | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Jack Flores | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Hall | 10.1% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cordelia Burn | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Mathieu Dale | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Jack Derry | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 0.9% |
| Billy Vogel | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 12.5% | 8.1% |
| Emily Mueller | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Emil Tullberg | 1.7% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 13.5% | 8.2% |
| Christian Cushman | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 2.2% |
| Colby Green | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 13.5% | 51.3% |
| Liam Gronda | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 7.4% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 14.1% | 19.8% | 16.1% |
| Griffin Lapham | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 4.2% |
| John Eastman | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.