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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.05+9.01vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.12+3.59vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.81+3.91vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.83+6.83vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.29+3.90vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.82+0.65vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+2.35vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.86+2.98vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.38-0.60vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.47-2.07vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont1.27+2.25vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan0.75+3.80vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.69-1.43vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.37-0.64vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.66+1.29vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University0.62-0.02vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.44-4.14vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24-0.55vs Predicted
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19Tufts University1.77-8.06vs Predicted
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20Bates College-0.59-0.26vs Predicted
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21Dartmouth College0.86-5.86vs Predicted
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22University of Rhode Island3.23-16.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.01Tufts University2.050.0%1st Place
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5.59Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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6.91Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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10.83Brown University1.830.0%1st Place
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8.9Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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6.65Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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9.35Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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10.98University of South Florida1.860.0%1st Place
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8.4Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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7.93Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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13.25University of Vermont1.270.0%1st Place
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15.8University of Michigan0.750.0%1st Place
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11.57Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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13.36Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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16.29Connecticut College0.660.0%1st Place
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15.98Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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12.86U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.440.0%1st Place
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17.45Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
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10.94Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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19.74Bates College-0.590.0%1st Place
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15.14Dartmouth College0.860.0%1st Place
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5.09University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Eastman | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 13.8% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Hall | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Mueller | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Michels | 9.0% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Mathieu Dale | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cordelia Burn | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christian Cushman | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 3.7% | 1.2% |
| Billy Vogel | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 5.6% |
| Noah Robitshek | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.3% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 1.5% |
| Liam Gronda | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 14.0% | 13.3% | 7.3% |
| Emil Tullberg | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 12.8% | 13.3% | 7.8% |
| Jack Derry | 2.4% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| Andy Leshaw | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 19.1% | 16.8% |
| Jack Flores | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Colby Green | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 15.1% | 52.6% |
| Griffin Lapham | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 10.1% | 4.4% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 14.1% | 15.2% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.