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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island0.93+1.71vs Predicted
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2Harvard University0.45+1.50vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire-0.93+2.66vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University0.70-0.93vs Predicted
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5Boston University0.15-1.03vs Predicted
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6Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.09+0.20vs Predicted
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7Bentley University-1.10-0.60vs Predicted
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8University of Connecticut-0.80-2.21vs Predicted
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9Sacred Heart University-2.06-1.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.71University of Rhode Island0.9329.2%1st Place
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3.5Harvard University0.4516.0%1st Place
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5.66University of New Hampshire-0.935.4%1st Place
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3.07Northeastern University0.7023.4%1st Place
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3.97Boston University0.1513.4%1st Place
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6.2Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.093.9%1st Place
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6.4Bentley University-1.103.6%1st Place
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5.79University of Connecticut-0.803.4%1st Place
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7.69Sacred Heart University-2.061.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leonardo Burnham | 29.2% | 23.4% | 18.9% | 13.2% | 9.2% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Theresa Straw | 16.0% | 18.1% | 18.6% | 17.3% | 14.8% | 9.7% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Lucas Wiatrowski | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 14.1% | 16.4% | 18.3% | 16.2% | 7.1% |
| Jeremy Bullock | 23.4% | 20.8% | 18.9% | 15.4% | 10.9% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Matteo Asscher | 13.4% | 14.8% | 15.5% | 16.4% | 15.3% | 12.0% | 8.3% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Sarah Gardner | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 14.0% | 19.8% | 20.1% | 14.1% |
| Wilfred Hynes | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 13.9% | 18.2% | 22.7% | 16.4% |
| Ryan Treat | 3.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 16.2% | 17.4% | 16.7% | 9.0% |
| Will Sugerman | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 17.8% | 52.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.