← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Virginia3.54+0.91vs Predicted
-
2Christopher Newport University1.61+2.20vs Predicted
-
4George Washington University2.84-1.37vs Predicted
-
5William and Mary1.37-0.46vs Predicted
-
6Hampton University1.84-1.94vs Predicted
-
7University of Maryland2.09-3.33vs Predicted
-
8University of Virginia3.54-6.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.91University of Virginia3.540.5%1st Place
-
4.2Christopher Newport University1.610.1%1st Place
-
2.63George Washington University2.840.2%1st Place
-
4.54William and Mary1.370.1%1st Place
-
4.06Hampton University1.840.1%1st Place
-
3.67University of Maryland2.090.1%1st Place
-
1.91University of Virginia3.540.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gordon Wolcott | 47.4% | 28.9% | 13.8% | 6.4% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Victoria Miller | 6.0% | 11.3% | 14.9% | 17.7% | 24.7% | 25.4% | 0.0% |
| William Ricketson | 22.8% | 28.6% | 22.8% | 16.9% | 6.8% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Bill Parker | 6.0% | 6.7% | 11.0% | 17.4% | 21.8% | 37.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Shoemaker | 6.9% | 12.0% | 16.3% | 19.7% | 23.3% | 21.8% | 0.0% |
| Russell Cramer | 10.9% | 12.5% | 21.2% | 21.9% | 21.2% | 12.3% | 0.0% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 47.4% | 28.9% | 13.8% | 6.4% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.